No Illinois
W-L: ( 7-24) PR = 92.3274Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 56-77 1107 H WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 65-76 1111 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 50-68 1113 H Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 55-66 1121 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 49-30 1124 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 67-57 1130 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 52-65 1203 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 61-69 1207 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 52-** 1214 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 44-67 1220 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 51-89 1229 H St Thomas MN SM (11-16, 93.4) 46-64 103 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 56-74 107 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 64-58 110 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 48-65 114 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 49-70 114 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 49-70 117 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 62-66 121 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-56 124 H Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 62-72 128 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 43-71 131 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 70-75 204 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 48-83 207 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 71-69 210 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 54-75 214 H Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 68-75 218 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 67-70 221 H We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 60-65 228 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 70-61 304 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 56-53 307 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 66-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H So Miss 56-77 -21 -1 -0.58
1107 H WI-Milw 65-76 -11 0 - -2.07
1111 H We Illinois 50-68 -18 -2 0.00
1113 H Ill-Chicago 55-66 -11 -1 -0.82
1121 A SIUE 49-30 19 -1 + 3.08
1124 A Chicago St 67-57 10 1 0.76
1130 H Evansville 52-65 -13 0 -1.55
1203 H Indiana St 61-69 -8 0 -1.68
1207 H Iowa St 52-** -53 -4 0.00
1214 H PFW 44-67 -23 -2 -0.26
1220 H Ce Michigan 51-89 -38 -2 0.00
1229 H St Thomas MN 46-64 -18 -1 -0.96
103 H Ball St 56-74 -18 -3 0.00
107 A Buffalo 64-58 6 1 1.29
110 H Bowling Grn 48-65 -17 -2 -0.49
114 H Toledo 49-70 -21 -2 -0.39
114 H Toledo 49-70 -21 -2 -0.39
117 H Ohio 62-66 -4 -2 -0.35
121 A We Michigan 64-56 8 -1 + 2.52
124 H Ea Michigan 62-72 -10 -1 -0.88
128 H Miami (OH) 43-71 -28 -3 0.00
131 H Ce Michigan 70-75 -5 -2 0.00
204 H Ball St 48-83 -35 -3 0.00
207 A TX St-SM 71-69 2 -1 + 2.64
210 H Mass 54-75 -21 -3 0.00
214 H Akron 68-75 -7 0 -1.96
218 H Kent State 67-70 -3 -2 -0.36
221 H We Michigan 60-65 -5 -1 -1.50
228 A Ea Michigan 70-61 9 -1 + 3.14
304 A Buffalo 56-53 3 1 1.29
307 H Bowling Grn 66-77 -11 -2 -0.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H WI-Milw 65-76 -11 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A SIUE 49-30 19 -1 + 3.08 121 A We Michigan 64-56 8 -1 + 2.52 207 A TX St-SM 71-69 2 -1 + 2.64 228 A Ea Michigan 70-61 9 -1 + 3.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 56-77 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 0.98 -3.01
3 H WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 65-76 -7.63 3.33 -0.01 0.98 -3.74
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 50-68 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.50
3 H Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 55-66 -6.38 4.58 -0.01 0.98 -3.13
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 49-30 -6.50 4.46 0.01 0.98 8.74
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 67-57 -8.82 2.14 0.01 0.98 4.20
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 52-65 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 0.98 -3.48
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 61-69 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 0.98 -3.55
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 52-** -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.98 -1.81
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 44-67 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.86
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 51-89 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H St Thomas MN (11-16, 93.4) 46-64 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 0.98 -3.20
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 56-74 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 64-58 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.98 5.25
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 48-65 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.98 -2.97
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 49-70 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.98 -2.92
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 49-70 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.98 -2.92
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 62-66 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 0.98 -2.90
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-56 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.98 7.65
3 H Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 62-72 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.98 -3.16
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 43-71 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.98 -2.21
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 70-75 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 48-83 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 71-69 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.98 7.90
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 54-75 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.98 -2.48
3 H Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 68-75 -7.52 3.44 -0.01 0.98 -3.69
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 67-70 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 0.98 -2.91
3 H We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 60-65 -7.06 3.90 -0.01 0.98 -3.46
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 70-61 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.98 8.87
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 56-53 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.98 5.25
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 66-77 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.98 -2.97
------
-22.12
|
winning pts = 47.8625 losing points = -69.9794
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------